For those who have following this thread, an update....
I taped off about 2/3 of the opening for the fan. I started the XL with the torch in two places...closed the lid and started up the Stoker.
1 hour - 15 degree over shoot, then 3 degrees under when fan turned on.
1 1/2 - 6 degree overshoot, then 3 degree under when fan turned on.
2 hours - 5 degrees overshoot, then 8 degrees under when fan on.
2 1/2 - 8 degree overshoot, then 7 degrees under when fan on.
Clearly, an improvement by closing off 2/3 of the fan output...from 60 to 70 degree swings, down to under 16 degree swings. I must be getting closer.
Why did the fan come on at 3 degrees under target after the first hour, then allowed to go 8 degrees under before coming on at the second hour? When the fan came on at 3 degrees under, I really thought I was going to hold to single digit swings, but it seems like the less the overshoot was, the greater the undershoot was allowed to go before than fan turned on. If the stoker learns, then why was the undershoot allowed to get further and further from target?
I really hope someone can explain what's going on here.